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An efficient method for optimal design of large-scale integrated chemical production sites with endogenous uncertainty

机译:具有内生不确定性的大型综合化工生产基地优化设计的有效方法

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摘要

Integrated sites are tightly interconnected networks of large-scale chemical processes. Given the large-scale network structure of these sites, disruptions in any of its nodes, or individual chemical processes, can propagate and disrupt the operation of the whole network. Random process failures that reduce or shut down production capacity are among the most common disruptions. The impact of such disruptive events can be mitigated by adding parallel units and/or intermediate storage. In this paper, we address the design of large-scale, integrated sites considering random process failures. In a previous work (Terrazas-Moreno et al., 2010), we proposed a novel mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model to maximize the average production capacity of an integrated site while minimizing the required capital investment. The present work deals with the solution of large-scale problem instances for which a strategy is proposed that consists of two elements. On one hand, we use Benders decomposition to overcome the combinatorial complexity of the MILP model. On the other hand, we exploit discrete-rate simulation tools to obtain a relevant reduced sample of failure scenarios or states. We first illustrate this strategy in a small example. Next, we address an industrial case study where we use a detailed simulation model to assess the quality of the design obtained from the MILP model.
机译:集成站点是大型化学过程紧密相连的网络。考虑到这些站点的大规模网络结构,其任何节点或单个化学过程中的中断都会传播并破坏整个网络的运行。减少或关闭生产能力的随机过程故障是最常见的中断。可以通过添加并行单元和/或中间存储来减轻此类破坏性事件的影响。在本文中,我们解决了考虑随机过程故障的大规模集成站点的设计。在先前的工作中(Terrazas-Moreno等人,2010),我们提出了一种新颖的混合整数线性规划(MILP)模型,以最大化集成站点的平均生产能力,同时将所需的资本投资降至最低。本工作涉及解决大型问题实例的问题,针对该问题提出的策略包括两个要素。一方面,我们使用Benders分解来克服MILP模型的组合复杂性。另一方面,我们利用离散速率仿真工具来获得故障场景或状态的相关减少样本。我们首先在一个小示例中说明此策略。接下来,我们讨论一个工业案例研究,其中我们使用详细的仿真模型来评估从MILP模型获得的设计质量。

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